Thursday, October 18, 2007

Here Comes The Turks!

Here's a quick summary of the potential problems of a Turkish attack in Iraq. William Arkin

Consider this scenario: Turkey crosses the Iraqi border to pursue its Kurdish enemy and protect its borders. Syria and Iran, which also have disgruntled Kurdish minorities pressing for independence, are encouraged to launch strikes, too. The American military in Iraq goes on alert. Israel prepares. NATO awakens. The Gulf States panic.

For now, a Turkish incursion seems unlikely. Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan has said he won't order an immediate attack. Still, there is a danger that events could conspire to create a situation where everyone, simultaneously, makes bad choices.
Arkin goes on to say he thinks it's an unlikely possibility but that events could spiral out of control.

No comments: