Iran Again

There's an old saying. Economists have successfully predicted 8 of the last 2 recessions. I feel the same way about predictions regarding Iran. Here's the latest:

Via Juan Cole:

" My friend had spoken to someone in one of the leading neo-conservative institutions. He summarized what he was told this way:


They [the source's institution] have "instructions" (yes, that was the word used) from the Office of the Vice-President to roll out a campaign for war with Iran in the week after Labor Day; it will be coordinated with the American Enterprise Institute, the Wall Street Journal, the Weekly Standard, Commentary, Fox, and the usual suspects. It will be heavy sustained assault on the airwaves, designed to knock public sentiment into a position from which a war can be maintained. Evidently they don't think they'll ever get majority support for this--they want something like 35-40 percent support, which in their book is "plenty."

Who knows. A broken watch is right twice a day. As usual, it wouldn't surprise me. And in terms of past predictions, I'm not so sure they weren't accurate with Bush backing off the trigger given the situation on the ground in Iraq and public opinion. But who knows.

We do know that there are very powerful factions in the White House that are just itching to bomb the crap out of Iran. So vigilance is the key.